A couple interesting pieces this week about the booming dot.com investment arena…
First, Robert A. Guth at the Wall Street Journal Online reports that Steve Balmer predicts that he (aka Microsoft) will buy about 20 start-ups per year for five years for between $50M and $1B each.
And before that, Brad Stone and Matt Richtel wrote in the New York Times about a growing dot.com investment swell that may become bubble 2.0.
Russell C. Horowitz offers today that the Internet has…
seen four major consumer- and/or merchant-focused movements that have created or transferred hundreds of billions of dollars of value.
They are…
Local will be the fifth – and it will impact consumers and merchants alike.
Each of these movements has created hundreds of billions of dollars of company value and Local will be at least as transforming. Local will not be winner take all and will be realized through the collaboration of many companies.
A new academic paper has just been published in Information Communication & Society (iCS) that’s really fascinating…
Neighborhoods in the Network Society: The e-Neighbors Study
Keith N Hampton, Annenberg School for Communication, University of Pennsylvania
October 2007
Professor Hampton has worked in the “e-neighborhood” arena for the past several years and some of his research is available on his website.
This new paper presents findings from a study that provided neighborhood-level online social networking opportunities for four Boston-area neighborhoods… one apartment complex, one gated condo development, and two suburban neighborhoods. Each was provided a neighborhood email list, and a neighborhood website with a bevy of bells and whistles.
The short of it (and I’m condensing and skimming, so likely missing some key points!):
Overall, much of what I read jibes with our experience running Front Porch Forum in our pilot area since fall 2006, and our flagship neighborhood forum since 2000. It’s great to get some confirmation from a respected researcher. Also, lots of details and insights that may guide FPF’s development. Thank you Professor Hampton and colleagues!
Greg Sterling writes today…
I had an interesting conversation this morning with Court Cunningham, CEO of Yodle (formerly NatPal), a local SEM firm. Yodle is in the hunt for SMB online advertising dollars and says its growing ranks of advertisers are spending roughly $1K per month — a figure that I’ve heard from others.
This translates to an average annual spend of roughly $12K, which compares with an approximate annual spend in print yellow pages of $4.5K or so…
The company is driving clicks but selling calls. It doesn’t guarantee clicks or calls but uses predictive modeling to set expectations (e.g., for that spend you can expect to receive X calls, based on Y clicks). Cunningham said that his sales team offers what amount to small, medium and large packages that are budget based and very simple to sell and buy.
TechCrunch reported today…
New York-based LifeAt wants to create a social network around your residential building. Do you need one? Nope. But maybe you’ll use it anyway. And perhaps you’ll even get to know some of your neighbors. The building managers control the network and post information about the building itself. Residents sign up to get news about the building, interact with other users, etc.
LifeAt is in the ballpark. Front Porch Forum knows all about the demand for neighborhood-level online service. Time will tell if they’ve got it right.
Newspaper-owned Topix.com reported today that their…
number of daily, active(1) local forums on its site now exceeds the total number of daily newspapers(2) in the United States for the first time. Topix local forums were first launched in December 2005 as part of the Topix’s broader user-generated forum functionality. Since that time, Topix local forums have grown at a rapid pace, reflecting Topix’s ability to meet pent-up demand for local news and to successfully generate local engagement and online participation.
Ranked a top 20 news site(3) since June 2007, Topix draws more than 12 million unique visitors every month and 70,000 forum posts per day. Topix local forums, which span all 32,500 U.S. zip codes, give local residents, especially those located in rural areas that are underserved by major media outlets, an opportunity to discuss and share the news that matters to them. Beyond daily local forum activity, Topix has generated user activity across 20,000 local forums with 16 million forum posts and 3 million users across the site.
(1) “Active” defines user forums with at least one post per day
(2) 1,437 Editor & Publisher (http://web.naa.org/thesource/14.asp )
(3) ComScore, -June, 2007
So… 32,000 or so local forums? And 1,500 of them have at least one post/day? About 5% of them are active? Do most of those 70,000 posts/day fit into the 1,500 active local forums… 40-50 posts/local forum/day?
About 30 of Front Porch Forum‘s 130 neighborhood forums have at least one posting/day… that’s in metro Burlington, VT, population 150,000. Our average neighborhood forum averages one posting every two days.
Greg Sterling writes today…
Where2GetIt has been around for a decade and is impressively self funded (VCs take note). Based in Southern California it’s a company that more people in the local space should know about. However the company has been relatively quiet about what it’s doing and where it’s going.
Where2GetIt started as a dealer locator service for retailers and manufacturers, hosting maps and directions that appear on their those third-party sites. But in the process of building out its services over time the company has developed a rich database of product inventory information in addition to business locations. In other words, it has a tremendously valuable body of information about where consumers can find products today in local stores. Among its customers are a host of “marquee” brands such as Office Depot…
But what caught my attention was Greg’s closing…
One of the other interesting things about this company is that it has built a business rather than the appearance of a business for the purpose of an acquisition, which is characteristic of so many “Web 2.0” companies of late.
Sounds good to me.
Smalltown announced today that it just bought Local2Me. Here are some of the reports about it…
As I’ve written in the past, I admire Smalltown’s narrow and deep focus on their initial five California towns. Local2Me is in the same geographic area as Smalltown. From Local2Me founder Michael Olivier…
The Local2Me service launched in 2000, and over the last seven years community members have posted over 31,000 neighborhood messages in 90 towns about wide-ranging topics, from great pediatric dentists to Halloween costumes for sale, trustworthy appliance repair, neighborhood crime issues, anti-raccoon measures, and more!
Each of these services has some similarities to Front Porch Forum. Although it’s probably more apples to oranges than anything, FPF had about 15,000 messages in its first year operating in one small metro area (including 19 towns).
Michael Taylor writes about “local online” start ups with lofty advertising sales ambitions…
In a recent post on Venturebeat.com, Dan Kaplan reveals ReachLocal is aiming to dramatically increase the size of its online sales force. “Local search marketing company ReachLocal will use its massive $55.2 million infusion to build a gigantic sales force that it hopes will dislodge the Yellow Pages as the de-facto place local businesses spend their promotional dollars.” Kaplan makes a good points on the grand goal set out by ReachLocal “To add some perspective, ReachLocal has around 300 salespeople; the global Yellow Page market employs more than 41,000 in sales alone. Zorik Gordon, ReachLocal’s chief executive, doesn’t balk at that figure, and suggests that a sales force of 10,000 or more might be in the cards. This is an unprecedented goal for an Internet-focused company, and a risky one. It comes at a time when the market for talented salespeople is extremely tight.”
Ghost of Midnight is an online journal about fostering community within neighborhoods, with a special focus on Front Porch Forum (FPF). My wife, Valerie, and I founded FPF in 2006... read more